Somewhat Important Note:

Due to the popularity of the blog, I receive numerous Facebook requests before potential snowstorms. Although I am flattered that you want to follow me on Facebook, I would ask that you not friend request me unless you know me in real life. It's nothing personal, I've just decided I don't want too many friends on Facebook.

Thanks, John

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Tonight's Forecast

A weak low pressure system will track from Tennessee up to Cleveland by tomorrow morning. To the north of this system, snow is occurring. The snow is currently edging into SE Michigan, and should reach the Lake Orion area in around 3 hours. After the snow starts, it will quickly become heavy, with snowfall rates of up to an inch an hour occurring. Still though, I don't expect a snow day tomorrow. The snow will only fall for 6 hours or so, with total accumulations in the 3-6" range. 6" is usually a borderline snow day, but I honestly don't expect a snow day even if we get that much snow. This is because schools usually all call snow days at once. However, the schools that only get 3" of snow obviously won't call school, and therefore the few schools that actually get 6" of snow won't call school, for fear of backlash from being one of the only schools to close. I can think of a similar event from last year that resulted in us having around 6" of snow, but still not having a snow day. Here's the link:


I expect a similar event tonight, with a lot of people getting 3-4" of snow, a few people getting 5-6" of snow, and almost no one calling school. Therefore, my prediction is:

NO snow day tomorrow.

Here's my snow map for tomorrow:

Note that although Lake Orion is in the 3-6" zone, we are on the northern edge of that zone; therefore, I tend to think we will be closer to 3" of accumulation than 6" of accumulation.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

very insightful. 2 bad no snow day. keep up the good work.

John Schlenner said...

Look for a good chance of a snow day on Friday though. :)

-John

Anonymous said...

john, i hate to say it, but i hope your wrong haha. nothing against u and your abilities, i just really want a day off tomorrow ;]