Bad news

The blizzard watch is off for now...we'll see if it ever comes back, but all but one of last night's model runs showed the low pressure system for next week going well to our east.

Now, this doesn't mean it's a slam dunk that this storm is going to miss us, but with such good model agreement, it's not looking good.

However, there is still hope, as forecast models tend to screw up with the upper-level features at about 5 days out from the storm (as we are right now), only to go back to their original track as we get closer to the storm. And guess what? Last night's models showed a ridge over Texas, which is preventing the trough from digging deep enough (I'd explain this in layman's terms but I have to get to school, sorry!), resulting in a weaker, much further east storm. So, we are definitely not out of play for this storm yet, but as of right now, it's definitely not looking as good as it did last night.