Somewhat Important Note:

Due to the popularity of the blog, I receive numerous Facebook requests before potential snowstorms. Although I am flattered that you want to follow me on Facebook, I would ask that you not friend request me unless you know me in real life. It's nothing personal, I've just decided I don't want too many friends on Facebook.

Thanks, John

Thursday, December 3, 2009

First Real Snow of the Season...Yes it's actually gonna happen this time

Yes, we are actually going to get our first real snow of the season tonight. As I said yesterday, this is a nearly perfect setup for lake effect snow for our area (still doesn't mean we're going to get much) and with an upper low moving through the area to help things out, there is an extremely high chance of lake effect snow showers moving through our area overnight.

Let's take a look at the current radar:



The band stretching roughly along and south of the I-96 has been propogating eastward in from Lake Michigan over the last few hours. This trend is expected to continue overnight, with the band moving through our area around midnight. Snowfall could actually be rather heavy at times with this band, but it will not be a long duration event, so I expect accumulations to be limited to around an inch.

Snow will also fall occasionally tomorrow. It will continue to be rather heavy at times when it does fall, and in the heaviest showers, some minor accumulations could occur.

Looking ahead to the longer range, a weak storm system could move through on Monday with some more minor accumulations. In addition, a stronger storm could move through in the middle of next week, but the models are all over the place with where it's supposed to track, so I'll hold off on talking about that one in detail. Most likely someone will get their first winter storm of the season, but it's anyone's guess who that will be at this point.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's 'cuz the librarian put up her snowflakes on the greenhouse windows. When she does that, it always snows within a week.

Anonymous said...

Any possibilities of an upset snow day before x-mas break?

John Schlenner said...

Could actually be a snow day next Wednesday...IF the storm track is good. Some areas of the Midwest will get significant snowfall with this storm...but there's still a lot of things that have to be worked out before which areas that will be can get figured out.

Anonymous said...

So if we do get this storm, and do get the brunt of it, whats the highest amount you feel we could get?

John Schlenner said...

I don't feel like speculating exact amounts, but if by any chance we did get the brunt of the midweek storm, enough snow would fall to give us a snow day.