Somewhat Important Note:

Due to the popularity of the blog, I receive numerous Facebook requests before potential snowstorms. Although I am flattered that you want to follow me on Facebook, I would ask that you not friend request me unless you know me in real life. It's nothing personal, I've just decided I don't want too many friends on Facebook.

Thanks, John

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Very Quiet Start To Snow Season In SE Michigan

I haven't posted on here in a while, so with not much else to do at the moment it may be time for a pretty wide-ranging post. It's been a very quiet start to snow season in SE Michigan; usually you guys would see at least one storm that brings accumulation, but if I'm keeping track correctly, I don't believe you guys have seen over 1" of snow at once so far this year. So, there hasn't really been much worth blogging about, and unfortunately for snowstorm lovers, that will likely continue in the near future.

First of all, there is a clipper system that is currently moving southeast through the Upper Midwest. This system will give cities such as Chicago, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati their first notable snowfall of the year, but will be too far south to give SE Michigan any notable weather. So, that's a no go.

After that, the next thing you guys have to look forward to snow-wise are occasional snow showers in the early part of the schoolweek (Monday-Wednesday). Conditions on these days will be very similar to what you guys experienced earlier this week, with occasional snow showers and very minor accumulations of up to an inch on any given day.

The most interesting thing to me in the medium range is another clipper system that will affect SE Michigan around Friday. There is some disagreement in the models with this system, with one main model (the GFS), calling for a fairly moisture starved system that would likely only give you guys 1-2" of snow, while another main model (the ECMWF) is showing a fairly decent snowfall occurring on Thursday Night & Friday Morning. If the ECMWF's wetter solution pans out, then I bet you guys would likely see a Winter Weather Advisory, but we are still 6 days away from that potential event, and there is significant model disagreement, so I am very hesitant to feel too good about decent accumulations with this system, but they are a possibility. I will likely have a more detailed post focusing on this system up on Sunday Night or Monday when there will hopefully be more of a consensus among the models.

Finally, there are hints of a bigger storm system occurring around the 12th or 13th, but that's obviously in the extended range, so I won't bother covering that for now. For now, the bigger threat for a storm in this timeframe appears to be focused east of the Great Lakes, but it's the extended range, so things could always change...

As always, feel free to leave questions/comments in the comments section.

2 comments:

sooz said...

Thanks for the update. Now that you are studying meteorology in Oklahoma,don't forget about us here in Michigan - we need your predictions! Go Green - Boomer Sooner!

sooz

sooz said...

Keep those forecasts coming! Even though you are studying meteorology in Oklahoma, I am glad you haven't forgotten your LO roots! GO GREEN - BOOMER SOONER!

sooz