Somewhat Important Note:

Due to the popularity of the blog, I receive numerous Facebook requests before potential snowstorms. Although I am flattered that you want to follow me on Facebook, I would ask that you not friend request me unless you know me in real life. It's nothing personal, I've just decided I don't want too many friends on Facebook.

Thanks, John

Monday, January 12, 2009

Final Snow Day Forecast For Tomorrow

A clipper (low pressure system that comes down from Canada) will bring a quick burst of heavy snow to our area early tomorrow morning. 3-5" of snow should fall between 2 a.m. and 8 a.m. tomorrow morning. This snow will combine with 20-25 mph winds to cause near whiteout conditions during the rush hour tomorrow morning. Also, temperatures will fall from around 25 degrees tonight to around 5 degrees by the end of the day tomorrow. Wind chills will likely be below 0 by the time we get out of school tomorrow.

So, all of this seemingly looks good for a snow day. It's a tough call to make, but I honestly don't see us getting a snow day tomorrow.

For one thing, the 20-25 mph winds may not come until after we get to school tomorrow morning. Therefore, the morning commute to school could be okay, with 2-4" of snow on the ground and moderate-to-heavy snow continuing to fall. In other words, the same thing we've driven to school in about 5 times this year. Also, we have better chances for snow/cold days from Wednesday-Friday, when wind chill advisories or warnings will be in effect, with lows around -10F and wind chills between -15F and -25F.

However, there are a few plusses for a snow day tomorrow, most notably that near whiteout conditions will still be present when we leave school tomorrow.

So, this honestly comes down to a gut feel, as there are good indicators pointing towards having a snow day and not having a snow day. And my gut feel tells me that we won't have school cancelled for 3-5" of snow when there are better opportunities to have school cancelled later in the week.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

So whats going to happen for tomorrow (wednesday)?

Anonymous said...

I'm curious too. What do you think about tmw (Wed)? Also, any predictions for Flint area? :)

John Schlenner said...

Flint has a pretty good chance, just like Lake Orion. Already down to 3 degrees in Flint.