Third straight day of disappointment? Or will we finally receive a cold day? Well, first I would like to say that I have learned two things this week.
1) Cold days are pretty random. We got one last year when temperatures were warmer than they were this year.
2) I'm not going to guarantee another prediction.
Now, on to the forecast. Lows are forecasted once again to be around -10, and wind chills once again are forecast to be around -20 to -25. However, that didn't do us a lot of good last night, as temperatures only dropped down to -6, and only at 7:00 a.m., when it was already too late to do us any good.
I'm not going to bother predicting this one, because, honestly, I don't know what is going to happen here. People have asked me one similar question all day though, and that is: "Do we have a better chance of a cold day tomorrow because now we'll only get 1 day off of school instead of the 2 we likely would have gotten if they called school today?"
I would lean towards "no" here. I believe that the reason we didn't get a cold day yesterday was because temperatures were honestly not nearly as cold as forecast. It was -1 at 5:00 a.m. with a wind chill of around -12. That honestly will almost never cut it for a cold day.
Would our forecasted low temperatures and wind chills tonight cut it? I do believe so. I say that any wind chill below -20 is getting to the point of being quite dangerous for people standing out at the bus stop, and I also believe that at that point we will start having multitudes of bus problems (which further exacerbates the problem of kids being outside for a while in dangerously cold temperatures). So do I think the school should call a cold day if our forecasted low temperatures and wind chills actually reach the forecasted mark tonight? Yes. Do I think the school will call a cold day if this happens? Not a clue.
NOTE: I'm still predicting snow days. Just not cold days anymore.
9 p.m. : 2 degrees with a wind chill of -15. As someone in the comments section said, we are getting somewhere.
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19 comments:
You probable are better off predicting just snow days. I don't think snow is as susceptible to change as temperature. Plus, calling a cold day is much more opinion-based than a snow day. On a snowy day, you barely get your car moving. On the other hand, cold does not feel the same to everybody. Anyways, it's nice to read your blog even if it's not always right. I don't know why, but it is.
"Plus, calling a cold day is much more opinion-based than a snow day. On a snowy day, you barely get your car moving. On the other hand, cold does not feel the same to everybody."
That is the main reason why I have decided to no longer predict cold days.
ohh come on John, we still need your predictions about the cold days too.... dont stop doing them just becuase you messed up on a few of them.
10 to 15 mph winds with wind chill readings around -20 to -23 into tomorrow morning. If this stands true, like you said John in your most recent post, for sure we will have no school.
BTW,
I saw this superintendent from this no name school district and said he would only consider closing schools with wind chills around -30.
I dont think many kids would agree with that. Hah.
Hate to believe it, but weather.com's predictions have actually been quite accurate since Tuesday.
Atm, for 6 a.m., they are calling for -6 degrees, with a windchill of -20.
Who knows, maybe weather.com can pull through with this one.
Psh. I still didn't do my homework either way.
But I think it's for the best.
Just try not to get yourself pitchforked anymore.
Im honestly hoping for a snowday
but after todays events of one not being called...well ive lost hope on my cold days
unless theres a tonna snow..well im hittin the hay at the normal time hoping to wake up to a pleasent suprise ;]
John, who cares what other people say. i love your predictions
dont give up Johnny keep at it!you're gonna be a shining star
with fancy clothes and fancy ca-ars.and then you'll see, you're gonna go far. cause evryone knows, who you a-are. ain't got no time for haters.
if we have school I'm going to attack my neighbors dog with an axe
8:47 p.m. - 6 degrees with a windchill of -10.
Were getting somewhere....
10:09 P.M. and we have a windchill a -16 degrees.
Keep the momentum going.
Yeah Cold days are tough you have to factor in the reliability of the buses, along with a variety of other things. The diesel won't completely freeze but It does turn into a waxy gel at around 15 degrees this caused the car or bus to be able to idle and not much else, this can also be fixed with a fuel heater or diesel additive. So our chances of having a cold day are slim. The distract probably won't be to keen on kids standing out in -5 degree weather with a 20 mile an hour wind chill due to risk of hypothermia, most people don't dress for the weather these days.
Any way keep up the blog it's got good stuff.
10:36 pm and its 2 degrees with a windchill of -15. clear skies. can someone say a little bit colder and no school or more wind. johnny ill take over the cold day predictions :D
for all of Oakland county, wind chills need to be -25 for a cold day. but last year they called one when wind chills were -22, but no higher.
-20 might just cut it. it's a tough call.
no school!!!
John,
it is 5:38 in the morning,
and i would just like you to know that WE HAVE NO SCHOOL TODAAAAY!!!
anyone who want's to check this and make sure that it is not a lie, go to TV channel 22 or 7. they have school closings on there.
or you can listen to channel 95.5 (and i guess 96.3).
but we have no school :) so who really cares about anything right now
SNNOOOOOWWWWW DDDAYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!
well i am 2/2 on predicting cold days. would you like me to take over the cold day predictions johnny? :)
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