Well nothing interesting is happening w/ regards to snow right now, and nothing interesting will happen until Wednesday, so just a quick post tonight.
Monday a weak system is still expected to move through. We'll get some snow out of the system, anywhere from 1-2" looks to be a decent bet.
The possible big storm will occur on Wednesday. A strong low pressure system will eject out of the Rockies, zipping quickly off to the ENE. I'm going to be perfectly honest that right now, the models have SE Michigan in a pretty good spot with this system. That's great, but when is the last time you've heard of a forecast staying exactly the same through five days? I'm at least partially excited about this upcoming storm, but I'm going to hold off on hyping it at all for a day or two. For now I'll just put it out there that there is a chance of significant snowfall on Wednesday, if everything works out correctly.
Check back here tomorrow night for a longer post featuring more details of the Wednesday system, as I will be able to state where it will track with a greater certainty, allowing me to discuss realistic snowfall possibilites for our area based on what I feel the track will be.
For now, I'll set the snow day grade for the Wednesday system to a C, simply because we're the frontrunners for receiving a potentially significant snowstorm in 5 days. Specific details obviously can/will change, and as they do, I'll adjust the grade up/down accordingly as we get closer to the event.
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4 comments:
Nice. The only bad thing is that its on a wednesday. Do you think because of our late start; that could affect the outcome of a snow day?
If we do end up getting enough snow to get a snow day on Wednesday, then no, we would not be affected by late start, as the storm will start on Tuesday Night, and then continue through the day on Wednesday before tapering off Wednesday Night.
Ah I see. I heard a couple of tid-bits about this storm on fox news this morning. They were mentioning something about near-blizzard conditions. Is this something we could be facing come tuesday night?
Quick summary for what I'm expecting right now:
3-5 inches of snow Tuesday Night with the initial band...this will be really heavy and at the perfect time could give us a snow day. If it's not the perfect time I think we'll be screwed because it's likely that we then will have a break in the precipitation or it will turn into a mix on Wednesday before turning back to snow as the storm departs. Could be something like 4-7" total.
Of course if the track of the storm shifts just 50 miles SE, we would get smashed with snow.
Conversely, 50 miles NW, we would be screwed over most likely even with the initial band.
Delicate situation...I'll offer my first track prediction & first forecast tomorrow.
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