I'm going to break down our snow day chances into three parts:
Wind/Whiteout Conditions: As some people may have already guessed by now, the forecast of 50-60 mph wind gusts with this storm was a bust. Wind gusts topped out at about 45 mph late this afternoon. Sure, that's strong, but it's nothing too out of the ordinary when it comes to Michigan weather. Wind gusts between 30-45 mph should continue through late afternoon tomorrow. Still, though, when combined with heavy snow, those winds should cause near-whiteout conditions. We will get occasional heavy snow overnight, but I wouldn't rely on it for a snow day. The near-whiteout conditions just aren't going to happen frequently enough.
Updated Snow Map (8 pm tonight - 5 pm tomorrow)
Icing On Roads: Nonfactor. Drove on some dirt roads...there is almost no icing. As is usually the case when temperatures quickly drop below freezing, the wind caused the rain to evaporate before it could freeze on the roadways.
Power Outage: This is really what any hope of a snow day hinges on. According to DTE's twitter page, there are about 40,000 outages right now because of this storm. I'd assume that number will go up to between 75,000 and 100,000 by the end of this storm. The wind isn't extrordinarily bad, but it's enough to knock out more power, especially when combined with the occasionally heavy snow and sleet we're going to get overnight. So...there is some chance of a power outage, but not enough to make me think we have a good chance of a snow day.
So...in conclusion:
Wind/Whiteout Conditions: Will happen, but not frequently enough.
Icing On Roads: Nonfactor
Power Outages: There will be some, but they won't be widespread.
Therefore, I unfortunately have to make the prediction that we will have school tomorrow.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
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3 comments:
Damn Schlen your breaking my balls
the roads are very bad right now, i was driving home from work and kept sliding everywhere.
and that was after the salt truck iced it, on m-24
^I can fully agree with the 2nd post...check my above updates.
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