Obviously, the severe weather portion of my forecast did not pan out. The problem was there was absolutely no instability over SE Michigan to bring the stronger winds down to the surface with the area of showers that moved over you guys on Tuesday afternoon. Obviously, this led to the forecast busting, despite the fact that there was a tornado watch over the area. There were a few tornado warnings and damaging wind reports with the showers, so I can't say that the forecast completely failed, but it still wasn't very good. Overall I'd give myself a "D" grade on the severe weather forecast.
As for the winds, I believe I did much better on those. About the only thing that I screwed up on, as far as I can tell, is that perhaps the peak wind gusts on Tuesday did not quite reach the 50mph I had forecasted. At the very least, they were still in the upper 40's though. Overall, I would give myself an "A" grade on the wind forecast.
Anyways, there will most likely be a fairly long break before my next post, as I seriously doubt there will be another low pressure system of this magnitude affecting you guys for a while, and climatologically, you guys are probably still a few weeks away from a storm system that will bring accumulating snow.
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While I realize Lake Orion can't hold onto you forever, I'm glad we have you for at least another snow season. Your posts are not only informational & educational but entertaining as well! Hope your having a blast in college and i look forward to our first snow storm!
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