Somewhat Important Note:

Due to the popularity of the blog, I receive numerous Facebook requests before potential snowstorms. Although I am flattered that you want to follow me on Facebook, I would ask that you not friend request me unless you know me in real life. It's nothing personal, I've just decided I don't want too many friends on Facebook.

Thanks, John

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Quick Update

Just wanted to post a quick update to say that things are still on track with regards to this storm. The evening forecast models came in with similar solutions regarding snow totals in Lake Orion, and I am still expecting 4-6" here. I am still not sure why the National Weather Service is only forecasting 2-3" here, and I am also not sure why we aren't under a Winter Weather Advisory. I believe the models support what I am forecasting. So, either the NWS or I are going to be wrong, and I really think it's going to be them. The one change I saw with the evening forecast models is that the heavier snowfall amounts should extend slightly further north then I previously expected.

All in all, this looks to be a good plowable snowfall, albeit one that is unlikely to give you guys a snow day. I will have a more informative blog post or video up during the day tomorrow, and I will make my final snow day prediction around 8:30 p.m. tomorrow evening.

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

The NWS has given a winter weather advisory for parts of southeast Michigan...good call.

Anonymous said...

I dont know I think there will be a snow day. But with a state like Michigan you never know. Sorry but I hope your wrong about not having a snow day tomorrow.

Anonymous said...

IDK I think we might.
But with a state like Michigan you never know what kind of weather we will have here.

Anonymous said...

The only chance of a snow day is higher accumulations than expected. The current forecast along with the timing of the bulk of the snowfall favors school tomorrow. Also, it being a dry snow doesn't help the cause either.

Anonymous said...

Great work! Fantastic video from yesterday. Love the graphics. Keep up the good work. :)

Anonymous said...

I want a snowday!

Anonymous said...

D:

ChadM. said...

I think we've covered this before, but just to be sure, the high school having a late start; does it effect the chances?

John Schlenner said...

That does not affect the chances.

Unknown said...

My sister Kate Warner knows you

Anonymous said...

hey this is cool when do you think the next snow day will be!!:)